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ITC

AHold / Watchlist
ITC · NSE · Mega Cap · FMCG Supplier
FMCG SupplierBeverages / Alco-bev
Fetching live…
425
1D 0.3%1M 2.0%1Y 8%
Fundamental (RQ-100)
81
Technical (TQ-100)
47
Valuation
65
Market cap
₹5.30L Cr
Live decision ratingAHold
Fundamental score breakdown
81/100
Growth Quality
6.4 / 20
Rev 1Y 4.0%, 3Y CAGR 8.0%, 5Y CAGR 6.0%
Margin & Profitability
15.0 / 15
EBITDA 36.0%, PAT 25.0%
Return on Capital
20.0 / 20
ROCE 32.0%, ROE 28.0%
Cash Flow Quality
13.0 / 15
OCF/EBITDA 0.92
Leverage
10.0 / 10
ND/EBITDA -1.20
Reinvestment
6.0 / 8
Capex/Sales 3.0%
Accounting
7.0 / 7
Governance
4.0 / 5
Technical score breakdown
47/100
Trend Structure
8.0 / 20
↓ 200 · ↓ 50 · ↓ 20
Momentum
8.0 / 15
1Y 8.0%, 1M 2.0%
Volume Dynamics
8.0 / 15
Vol30 —%
Relative Strength
8.0 / 15
1Y 8.0%
MA Cluster
5.0 / 10
Extension
5.0 / 10
—% from 50DMA
Volatility
4.0 / 8
Price Action
1.0 / 7
-100.0% from 52W H

Business

What this company actually does

Cigarettes + FMCG + agri + paper + hotels. Defensive cash machine.

Stores
Dark stores
Cities
Listed status
Listed

Format exposure

How direct is this play?

Primary formatFMCG Supplier
Exposure typeMeaningful
Revenue visibilityHigh
Operating leverage stageMaturity
Policy beneficiaryNone
Data confidenceMedium

Financial snapshot

Live · green dot = live, falls back to curated

Revenue
₹72.0K Cr
Rev 1Y growth
4%
Rev 3Y CAGR
8%
EBITDA margin
36.0%
PAT margin
25.0%
ROE
28%
ROCE
32%
OCF/EBITDA
0.92
Net Debt/EBITDA
-1.2

Financial statements

Multi-year P&L, balance sheet, cash flow — scraped live from Screener.in

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Valuation

Live multiples + retail-specific (curated)

P/E
28
Forward P/E
24
EV/EBITDA
20
EV/Sales
5.8
P/B
7.0
FCF Yield
3.0%

Trading below 25× EV/EBITDA — relatively reasonable for this segment.

Investment thesis

AI-generated · always cite sources before acting

Bull
Best-in-class 32% ROCE with 0.92 OCF conversion. Long-runway TAM with structural tailwinds.
Base
Earnings growth of ~9% over the next 3 years assuming margins hold. Multiple compression risk if growth slows; multiple expansion possible if FMCG Supplier GMV outperforms.
Bear
Format-level risk: regulation, gig-cess, or competitive pressure compress contribution margin.
Variant perception
Consensus views ITC as a quality compounder. Our differentiated take: the cyclical pessimism in FMCG Supplier has overshot the long-term cash-flow potential.
Key monitorables
  • Quarterly EBITDA margin trajectory
  • Revenue growth vs management guidance
  • Capex vs store/dark-store adds
  • Promoter holding and ESOP dilution