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Senco Gold

BHold
SENCO · NSE · Small Cap · Modern Trade — Specialty
Modern Trade — Specialty
Fetching live…
380
1D -0.3%1M -1.5%1Y -12%
Fundamental (RQ-100)
52
Technical (TQ-100)
40
Valuation
55
Market cap
₹4.5K Cr
Live decision ratingCSell / Avoid
Fundamental score breakdown
52/100
Growth Quality
15.4 / 20
Rev 1Y 18.0%, 3Y CAGR 22.0%, 5Y CAGR 20.0%
Margin & Profitability
4.5 / 15
EBITDA 7.0%, PAT 2.5%
Return on Capital
11.0 / 20
ROCE 13.0%, ROE 14.0%
Cash Flow Quality
4.0 / 15
OCF/EBITDA 0.50
Leverage
4.0 / 10
ND/EBITDA 2.80
Reinvestment
5.0 / 8
Capex/Sales 2.0%
Accounting
4.0 / 7
Governance
4.0 / 5
Technical score breakdown
40/100
Trend Structure
8.0 / 20
↓ 200 · ↓ 50 · ↓ 20
Momentum
5.0 / 15
1Y -12.0%, 1M -1.5%
Volume Dynamics
8.0 / 15
Vol30 —%
Relative Strength
4.0 / 15
1Y -12.0%
MA Cluster
5.0 / 10
Extension
5.0 / 10
—% from 50DMA
Volatility
4.0 / 8
Price Action
1.0 / 7
-100.0% from 52W H

Business

What this company actually does

East-India anchored jewellery retailer.

Stores
165
Dark stores
Cities
95
Listed status
Listed

Format exposure

How direct is this play?

Primary formatModern Trade — Specialty
Exposure typeDominant
Revenue visibilityLow
Operating leverage stageInvestment
Policy beneficiaryNone
Data confidenceMedium

Financial snapshot

Live · green dot = live, falls back to curated

Revenue
₹5.8K Cr
Rev 1Y growth
18%
Rev 3Y CAGR
22%
EBITDA margin
7.0%
PAT margin
2.5%
ROE
14%
ROCE
13%
OCF/EBITDA
0.50
Net Debt/EBITDA
2.8

Financial statements

Multi-year P&L, balance sheet, cash flow — scraped live from Screener.in

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Valuation

Live multiples + retail-specific (curated)

P/E
45
Forward P/E
38
EV/EBITDA
20
EV/Sales
1.0
P/B
4.2
FCF Yield
3.0%

Trading below 25× EV/EBITDA — relatively reasonable for this segment.

Retail KPIs

The unit-economics that define the format

SSSG
14.0%

Investment thesis

AI-generated · always cite sources before acting

Bull
Compounding revenue at 22% CAGR. Long-runway TAM with structural tailwinds.
Base
Earnings growth of ~24% over the next 3 years assuming margins hold. Multiple compression risk if growth slows; multiple expansion possible if Modern Trade — Specialty GMV outperforms.
Bear
Format-level risk: regulation, gig-cess, or competitive pressure compress contribution margin.
Variant perception
Consensus views Senco Gold as a decent operator. Our differentiated take: the current multiple already prices in mid-cycle outcomes.
Key monitorables
  • Quarterly contribution margin trajectory
  • SSSG vs guidance
  • Capex vs store/dark-store adds
  • Promoter holding and ESOP dilution