Aditya Birla Fashion (ABFRL)

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ABFRL · NSE · Mid Cap · Modern Trade — Fashion

Modern Trade — Fashion

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₹285

1D -0.2%1M -1.5%1Y -8%

Fundamental (RQ-100)

Technical (TQ-100)

Valuation

Market cap

₹22.0K Cr

Live decision ratingDSell / Avoid

Fundamental score breakdown

32/100

Growth Quality

10.4 / 20

Rev 1Y 9.0%, 3Y CAGR 14.0%, 5Y CAGR 8.0%

Margin & Profitability

2.4 / 15

EBITDA 10.0%, PAT -3.0%

Return on Capital

3.6 / 20

ROCE 6.0%, ROE -8.0%

Cash Flow Quality

7.0 / 15

OCF/EBITDA 0.60

Leverage

2.0 / 10

ND/EBITDA 3.20

Reinvestment

7.0 / 8

Capex/Sales 5.0%

Accounting

2.0 / 7

Governance

4.0 / 5

Red flags (penalty)

-6.0 / 0

Technical score breakdown

40/100

Trend Structure

8.0 / 20

↓ 200 · ↓ 50 · ↓ 20

Momentum

5.0 / 15

1Y -8.0%, 1M -1.5%

Volume Dynamics

8.0 / 15

Vol30 —%

Relative Strength

4.0 / 15

1Y -8.0%

MA Cluster

5.0 / 10

Extension

5.0 / 10

—% from 50DMA

Volatility

4.0 / 8

Price Action

1.0 / 7

-100.0% from 52W H

Business

What this company actually does

Pantaloons, Allen Solly, Van Heusen, Louis Philippe + ethnic. Demerged into ABLBL for lifestyle.

Stores

4,400

Dark stores

—

Cities

380

Listed status

Listed

Format exposure

How direct is this play?

Primary formatModern Trade — Fashion

Exposure typeDominant

Revenue visibilityMedium

Operating leverage stageScaling

Policy beneficiaryNone

Data confidenceMedium

Financial snapshot

Live · green dot = live, falls back to curated

Revenue

₹13.8K Cr

Rev 1Y growth

Rev 3Y CAGR

14%

EBITDA margin

10.0%

PAT margin

-3.0%

ROE

-8%

ROCE

OCF/EBITDA

0.60

Net Debt/EBITDA

3.2

Financial statements

Multi-year P&L, balance sheet, cash flow — scraped live from Screener.in

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Valuation

Live multiples + retail-specific (curated)

P/E

—

Forward P/E

—

EV/EBITDA

EV/Sales

1.6

P/B

4.2

FCF Yield

3.3%

Trading below 25× EV/EBITDA — relatively reasonable for this segment.

Retail KPIs

The unit-economics that define the format

SSSG

4.5%

Investment thesis

AI-generated · always cite sources before acting

Bull

Long-runway TAM with structural tailwinds.

Base

Earnings growth of ~15% over the next 3 years assuming margins hold. Multiple compression risk if growth slows; multiple expansion possible if Modern Trade — Fashion GMV outperforms.

Bear

Stretched balance sheet limits flexibility in a downturn. Capital efficiency below cost of capital. Format-level risk: regulation, gig-cess, or competitive pressure compress contribution margin.

Variant perception

Consensus views Aditya Birla Fashion (ABFRL) as a challenged player. Our differentiated take: the current multiple already prices in mid-cycle outcomes.

Key monitorables